National League South | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Parkside Stadium

Aveley
1 - 0
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions

Last Game: Salisbury 0-2 Aveley
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Enfield Town
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Aveley	Draw	Chelmsford City
27.38% ( -0.29)	25.54% ( 0.37)	47.08% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.81% (

-1.67)

51.19% (

1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97% (

-1.48)

73.03% (

1.49)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.72% (

-1.11)

33.28% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

-1.24)

69.9% (

1.25)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

-0.72)

21.74% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

-1.11)

54.92% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Aveley 27.38%

Chelmsford City 47.08%

Draw 25.53%

Aveley	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.38%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.08%