National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium
Torquay United

Aveley
0 - 1
Torquay Utd

FT(HT: 0-1)
Cooke (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torquay United in this match.

Result
AveleyDrawTorquay United
29.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)25.7%44.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.69% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.0039999999999907 0)31.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.79% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)56.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 29.5%
    Torquay United 44.79%
    Draw 25.7%
AveleyDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.79%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Torquay Utd
1-1
Aveley
Carson (45+3')
Hernandez (58')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Torquay Utd
2-2
Aveley
Jarvis (28'), Ash (35')
Odelusi (45+2' pen.), Vaz (51')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Aveley
2-1
Torquay Utd
Odelusi (37'), Hughes (82')
Ring (88')
Ash (87')
rhs 2.0


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