Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torquay United in this match.