National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
0 - 2
Eastbourne

FT(HT: 0-2)
Adigun (4'), Alexander (16' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Worthing
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
Last Game: Eastbourne 4-1 Chippenham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawEastbourne Borough
31.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)26.83% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)41.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.074000000000005 0.07)54.32% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.062999999999999 0.06)75.71% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)67.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.046000000000006 0.05)25.97% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.061 0.06)60.98% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 31.96%
    Eastbourne Borough 41.2%
    Draw 26.83%
AveleyDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.96%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.2%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Eastbourne
2-1
Aveley
Quick (29'), Ballard-McBride (51')
Quick (3'), Barry (87')
Diarra (5' og.)
Hallard (34'), Ogunrinde (44'), Hughes (85'), Ring (90+4')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Eastbourne
1-2
Aveley
Diarra (8')
Krasniqi (45'), Odelusi (63' pen.)
Aug 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Aveley
2-0
Eastbourne
Benton (45'), Rush (61')