Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	York City
36.42%	25.51%	38.07%

Both teams to score 55.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52%

47.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83%

70.17%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.43%

60.57%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24%

24.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68%

59.31%

Score Analysis

Southport 36.42%

York City 38.07%

Draw 25.5%

Southport	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.42%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.07%