National League North | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent

York City
3 - 1
Southport

Brown (29'), Wright (58'), Dyson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hmami (32' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between York City and Southport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawSouthport
60.45%21.4%18.16%
Both teams to score 53.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5%43.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11%65.89%
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.05%13.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.57%41.42%
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4%37.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    York City 60.44%
    Southport 18.16%
    Draw 21.39%
York CityDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 6.54%
4-0 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-0 @ 1.3%
5-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 60.44%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.13%
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 18.16%