UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 16, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Montenegro
0 - 2
Iceland

Jankovic (58'), Marusic (66'), Radunovic (66'), Gudjohnsen (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oskarsson (74'), Bergmann Johannesson (88')
Tomasson (43'), Vujacic (72'), Oskarsson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Montenegro and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Wales 1-0 Montenegro
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Iceland 2-4 Turkey
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Iceland
51.77% ( -0.06)	24.18% ( 0.02)	24.05% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

-0.03)

48.17% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

-0.03)

70.32% (

0.03)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4% (

-0.04)

18.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12% (

-0.07)

49.87% (

0.07)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.59% (

0.02)

34.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.88% (

0.02)

71.12% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 51.76%

Iceland 24.05%

Draw 24.18%

Montenegro	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.05%