MX23RW : Friday, November 1 19:52:16| >> :600:132778:132778:
Wales national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Montenegro national football team

Wales
1 - 0
Montenegro

Wilson (36' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovetic (49'), Vukcevic (52'), Bakic (58'), Sipcic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Wales and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Iceland 2-2 Wales
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Wales 1-0 Montenegro

Having shown signs of promise under new management, Wales should have sufficient firepower to see off a Montenegro side that has struggled to score goals this year. The hosts were impressive in their last run-out at Cardiff City Stadium, falling just short of beating Group 4 leaders Turkey, so they are more than a match for ailing opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wales in this match.

Result
WalesDrawMontenegro
54.15% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 20.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.75% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)54.92% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (0.069000000000003 0.07)76.21% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (0.013000000000005 0.01)20.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (0.103 0.1)41.36% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (0.09 0.09)77.88% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Wales 54.14%
    Montenegro 20.78%
    Draw 25.07%
WalesDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.14%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Wales vs Montenegro

Wales
84.9%
Draw
11.2%
Montenegro
3.9%
152
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Montenegro
1-2
Wales
Camaj (73')
Brnovic (49'), Marusic (57')
Moore (1'), Wilson (3')
Ampadu (2'), Williams (49'), Mepham (54'), James (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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