Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.