Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montreal Impact in this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
| 42.84% | 26.23% | 30.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% | 52.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% | 73.95% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% | 24.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% | 58.52% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% | 31.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.93% |