Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 41.74% | 25.78% | 32.48% |
| Both teams to score 54.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% | 49.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% | 71.84% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% | 23.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% | 57.79% |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% | 28.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% | 64.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.48% |