Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 43.77% | 24.51% | 31.72% |
| Both teams to score 58.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% | 44.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% | 20.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% | 52.93% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% | 26.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% | 62.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.72% |