Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 23, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 2
Monaco

Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
25.01%	24.46%	50.53%

Both teams to score 53.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55%

48.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42%

70.58%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26%

33.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6%

70.4%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81%

19.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14%

50.86%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 25.01%

Monaco 50.53%

Draw 24.45%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.01%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.53%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Monaco

Montpellier HSC

23.7%

Draw

13.2%

Monaco

63.2%