Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Labeau (39'), Lecomte (90+1' og.)
Sotoca (79'), Samba (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (43'), Sagnan (71'), Tchato (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Lens
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Lille
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
58.9% ( -0.74)	22.07% ( 0.18)	19.03% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.87% (

0.09)

45.13% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.52% (

0.08)

67.48% (

-0.08)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

-0.21)

14.98% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.59% (

-0.4)

43.41% (

0.4)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.41% (

0.68)

37.59% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.63% (

0.66)

74.37% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Lens 58.88%

Montpellier HSC 19.03%

Draw 22.07%

Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.88%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.03%