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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 30, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Louis II
Montpellier

Monaco
0 - 4
Montpellier

FT(HT: 0-1)
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Monaco
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 1-0 Rennes
Sunday, April 23 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
65.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)15.58%
Both teams to score 55.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (0.0040000000000049 0)38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)74.13% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 65.25%
    Montpellier HSC 15.58%
    Draw 19.18%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.09%
4-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 65.25%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 4.08%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-1 @ 4.02%
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.58%

How you voted: Monaco vs Montpellier

Monaco
78.9%
Draw
15.8%
Montpellier HSC
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco

Esteve (11')
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
gameweek 11
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
gameweek 20
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
gameweek 7
Monaco
1-1
Montpellier
Ben Yedder (70' pen.)
Pellegri (73'), Geubbels (90+3')
Mavididi (51')
Souquet (90+5')
Savanier (19')