Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match.
