MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 04:32:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Sarmiento

Union
0 - 2
Sarmiento


Aued (47'), Gordillo (67')
Gonzalez (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toledo (17', 54')
Quinteros (7'), Mendez (40'), Hernandez (85'), Cruz Kaprof (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-0 Union
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Sarmiento
Tuesday, May 9 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawSarmiento
45.39% (0.288 0.29) 30.63% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 23.98% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 36.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.38% (0.125 0.13)69.62% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.01% (0.08 0.08)86.99% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (0.22499999999999 0.22)31.13% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (0.263 0.26)67.46% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.27% (-0.121 -0.12)46.73% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.72% (-0.093 -0.09)82.28% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union 45.39%
    Sarmiento 23.97%
    Draw 30.62%
UnionDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 16.97% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 45.39%
0-0 @ 14.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 30.62%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Union vs Sarmiento

Union
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sarmiento
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 18
Union
1-0
Sarmiento

Gallardo (74')
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
gameweek 4
Sarmiento
2-1
Union
Torres (34'), Andueza (42')
Torres (65'), Mancilla (90+4'), Femia (90+7')
Roldan (14')
Alvez (45'), Ignacio Nardoni (61')
Ignacio Nardoni (76')
Oct 16, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
3-4
Union
Torres (44'), Alanis (73'), Gondou (90+4')
Bazzana (58'), Arismendi (88')
Gonzalez (38', 80'), Calderon (54'), Luna Diale (68')
Calderon (30'), Ignacio Nardoni (51'), Gonzalez (82')
Carlos Portillo (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!