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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-2 Rio Ave

The last four meetings between Farense and Rio Ave has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis this weekend. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
32.36% (-0.678 -0.68) 26.58% (-0.336 -0.34) 41.05% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (1.181 1.18)53.22% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.992 0.99)74.78% (-0.991 -0.99)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.142 0.14)30.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.166 0.17)66.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (1.089 1.09)25.54% (-1.087 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.463 1.46)60.41% (-1.459 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.36%
    Rio Ave 41.05%
    Draw 26.58%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
28.9%
Draw
42.1%
Rio Ave
28.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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