Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16

May 3, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Vombergar (36' og.)
Vallejos (41'), Manuel Insaurralde (45+1'), Suhr (56'), Paradela (58'), Roncaglia (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (87' og.)
Cecchini (34'), Ezequiel Herrera (90')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, April 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Rosario
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 40.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	San Lorenzo
27.21% ( 1.38)	32.39% ( -0.16)	40.4% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 34.92% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.28% (

0.75)

72.72% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.07% (

0.45)

88.92% (

-0.45)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.38% (

1.73)

45.61% (

-1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.58% (

1.32)

81.42% (

-1.33)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22% (

-0.33)

35.78% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

-0.34)

72.56% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 27.2%

San Lorenzo 40.4%

Draw 32.39%

Sarmiento	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.2%	0-0 @ 16.32% ( -0.46) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.39%	0-1 @ 16.77% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.4%