Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 34.77%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.91%) and 1-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (13.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Platense in this match.