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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Reading logo

Port Vale
1 - 0
Reading

Garrity (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Reading

Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season. While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawReading
49.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.012 -0.01)75.81% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.04%
    Reading 25%
    Draw 25.95%
Port ValeDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Reading

Port Vale
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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