Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
38.54% ( -0.78) | 25.6% ( 0.29) | 35.85% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.54% ( -1.28) | 48.45% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.41% ( -1.18) | 70.59% ( 1.17) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -0.98) | 24.71% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% ( -1.39) | 59.25% ( 1.39) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% ( -0.32) | 26.2% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% ( -0.43) | 61.3% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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