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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
22.39% ( 0.73) | 21.27% ( 0.28) | 56.34% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.18% ( -0.39) | 36.81% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.01% ( -0.43) | 58.99% ( 0.43) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( 0.42) | 29.58% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 0.5) | 65.61% ( -0.5) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.98% ( -0.42) | 13.02% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.44% ( -0.87) | 39.56% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.39% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.92% Total : 56.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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