Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Apr 20, 2025 at 8am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 2
Macarthur

Sainsbury (15'), De Lima (29')
Harrington (39')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Boli (22'), Sawyer (49')
Hollman (18'), Deli (27'), Jakolis (28'), Scott (70')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast
Saturday, April 12 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-5 Macarthur
Friday, April 4 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Macarthur
35.21% ( 0.07)	22.55% ( -0.01)	42.24% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 66.72% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.09% (

0.05)

33.91% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.24% (

0.06)

55.76% (

-0.07)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

0.06)

19.85% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05% (

0.1)

51.94% (

-0.11)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

-0.01)

16.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.31% (

-0.01)

46.69% (

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 35.21%

Macarthur 42.24%

Draw 22.55%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.21%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.24%