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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 25.14% | 25.04% | 49.82% |
| Both teams to score 51.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% | 72.63% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% | 34.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% | 71.6% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% | 20.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% | 52.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.82% |