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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 24.5% | 27.52% | 47.98% |
| Both teams to score 44.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.69% | 60.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% | 80.47% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.25% | 40.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.66% | 77.33% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% | 60.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.5% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 14.16% 0-2 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.54% 1-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.98% |