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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 39.66% | 27.28% | 33.07% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.09% | 76.91% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% | 27.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% | 62.98% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% | 67.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.66% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.06% |