Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 49.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.