Drogheda United
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
United Park (Drogheda)
Derry City

Drogheda
1 - 1
Derry

Ahui (41')
Oluwya (10'), Keeley (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas (90')
O'Reilly (8'), Benson (15'), Boyce (54')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Drogheda United and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, May 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 1-2 Derry
Friday, May 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Drogheda UnitedDrawDerry City
24.39% (0.068000000000001 0.07)26.95%48.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05)58.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.038 0.04)79.04% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.089999999999996 0.09)39.79% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.082999999999998 0.08)76.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)58.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Drogheda United 24.39%
    Derry City 48.66%
    Draw 26.94%
Drogheda UnitedDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 5.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.39%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 13.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-3 @ 4.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 48.66%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
1-3
Drogheda
Boyce (61')
Winchester (54'), Boyce (54'), O'Reilly (69'), O'Reilly (90+3')
Boyce (63')
Keeley (64', 68'), Davis (86')
Brennan (48')
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Drogheda
2-1
Derry
Pierrot (62', 71')
Markey (30'), Dennison (77')
Quinn (83')
Diallo (6'), Connolly (23'), Robertson (80')
Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derry
5-1
Drogheda
Dummigan (6'), Patching (30' pen.), Kelly (57'), Hoban (67'), Coll (88')
Foley (26')
Foley (29'), Weir (30'), Pierrot (42'), Keaney (82'), O'Brien (82')
Pierrot (66')
> Preview
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Drogheda
2-2
Derry
Davis (3'), Pierrot (86')
Webster (58'), Doherty (59'), McNally (83'), Keaney (90+5')
Duffy (29'), Patching (45+1')
Feb 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Derry
2-1
Drogheda
Boyce (46'), Hoban (63')
McMullan (54')
Weir (67')
Pierrot (17'), Weir (53'), Keaney (71'), Cann (81')