Cork City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15
May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Turner's Cross
Derry City

Cork City
1 - 2
Derry

Daniels (62')
Kiernan (16'), Lyons (45'), Crowley (48'), Shipston (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyce (24'), Holt (81')
Duffy (47'), Whyte (53'), Connolly (62'), Todd (90+14')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Cork City and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Drogheda 3-2 Cork City
Monday, May 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-0 St Patrick's
Monday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Cork City win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Cork CityDrawDerry City
25.53% (-0.11 -0.11)25.87% (0.11 0.11)48.6% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27% (-0.485 -0.48)53.73% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.79% (-0.411 -0.41)75.21% (0.41799999999999 0.42)
Cork City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-0.358 -0.36)36.16% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.367 -0.37)72.94% (0.376 0.38)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.194 -0.19)22.13% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (-0.301 -0.3)55.5% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cork City 25.53%
    Derry City 48.59%
    Draw 25.87%
Cork CityDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.53%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.1% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 48.59%

How you voted: Cork City vs Derry

Cork City
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Derry City
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derry
2-1
Cork City
Boyce (65'), Duffy (74')
Doherty (41'), Doherty (41'), Winchester (55'), McMullan (58'), Duffy (79')
Nelson (14')
Shipston (40'), Shipston (40'), Keating (61'), Keating (61'), Bernhard Mbeng (69')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Cork City
0-1
Derry

Bargary (39'), Bolger (65'), Kabia (89')
Boyce (74')
O'Reilly (59'), Dummigan (75'), Mullen (88'), Maher (90+5')
Jun 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Derry
2-0
Cork City
McGonigle (45+1'), McGinty (90')
Boyce (31'), Diallo (42'), Doherty (82'), Kavanagh (88')

Custovic (67')
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Cork City
1-3
Derry
Owolabi (90+3')
Boyce (38'), Duffy (60'), Whelan (78')
Feb 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Derry
2-0
Cork City
McEleney (31'), McEneff (63')