League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'

Derry City vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 7.45pm
Waterford 2 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 7.45pm
Shamrock 2 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ademipo Odubeko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result

Derry City 51.55% (-0.05)
Draw 26.27% (+0.03)
Shelbourne 22.18% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.25% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.17% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 57.84% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.44% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.56% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 9.18% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 90.82% (+0.04)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 77.45% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.55% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 43.87% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.14% (+0.08)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 58.42% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 41.58% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21.93% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.07% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Derry City 51.55%
Draw 26.26%
Shelbourne 22.18%
Derry City
1-0 @ 13.96% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 51.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.26%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 8.23% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.18%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 11' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 15' goal
  • Sean Boyd 45' goal
  • Sean Boyd 53' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 84' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 14'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 22'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 38'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Jacob Davenport 78' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wood 85'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 86'
  • yellowcard Conor Kearns 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 49' yellowcard
  • John Martin 51' yellowcard
  • Shane Griffin 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Todd 11'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 32'
  • redcard Sam Todd 35'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 35'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Paul McMullan 24' yellowcard
  • William Patching 32' yellowcard
  • Paul McMullan 56' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 63' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 75' yellowcard
  • Ronan Boyce 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Boyd 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 1, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Matthew Smith 32' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 60' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Sadou Diallo 24' redcard
  • yellowcard Euclides Cabral 67'