Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.