Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Shamrock Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.