Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.