Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.