League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
14
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May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT :
0
0
FT
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
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-
Paul McMullan
12'
-
Shane Ferguson
37'
-
Danny Mullen
48'
-
Tom Grivosti
61'
-
Anthony Breslin
75'
-
Joe Redmond
90'+4'
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.
Result
Derry City
49.86%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
26.18%
▲
(+0.02)
St Patrick's Athletic
23.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
47.37%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.95%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
56.05%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
22.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
77.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
10.03%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
89.96%
▲
(+0.03)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5
77.46%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
22.54%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
43.88%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
56.12%
▲
(+0.06)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
61.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
38.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
24.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
75.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Derry City
49.86%
Draw
26.17%
St Patrick's Athletic
23.96%
Derry City
1-0
@
13.04%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.86%
2-0 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.86%
Draw
1-1
@
12.33%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.17%
0-0 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.17%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1
@
8.28%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.96%
Head to Head
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
4
-
Aidan Keena
16'
-
Tom Grivosti
47'
-
Tom Grivosti
48'
-
Aidan Keena
67'
-
Mark Connolly
39'
-
Carl Winchester
47'
-
Patrick Hoban
48'
-
Sadou Diallo
76'
-
Sean Patton
90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
35
-
Jamie Lennon
36'
-
Brandon Kavanagh
44'
-
Kian Leavy
84'
-
Romal Palmer
84'
-
Duncan Idehen
23'
-
Ronan Boyce
25'
-
Sadou Diallo
34'
-
Shane McEleney
53'
-
Jacob Davenport
88'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
16
-
Joe Redmond
82'
-
Patrick Hoban
22'
-
Paul McMullan
76'
-
Ciaran Coll
88'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
24
-
Patrick Hoban
13'
-
Danny Mullen
16'
-
Cameron McJannett
20'
-
Patrick Hoban
51'
-
Danny Mullen
56'
-
Adam O'Reilly
72'
-
Jamie Lennon
38'
-
Conor Keeley
54'
-
Ryan McLaughlin
74'
-
Conor Keeley
82'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
3
-
Patrick Hoban
31'
-
Patrick Hoban
65'
-
Danny Mullen
90'+2'
-
Ruairi Keating
47'
-
Anthony Breslin
66'
-
Marcelo Pitaluga
80'
-
Cian Kavanagh
85'
League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
36
-
Brandon Kavanagh
11'
-
William Patching
26'
-
Mark Connolly
30'
-
Cameron Dummigan
73'
-
Jordan McEneff
86'
-
Jay McGrath
85'