Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cork City would win this match.