Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.