Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.