Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.