Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sagan Tosu in this match.