Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.