J1 League | Gameweek 12
Sep 9, 2020 at 11am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch
Hiroshima4 - 1Shimizu S-Pulse
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 60.03% | 22.53% | 17.44% |
| Both teams to score 48.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% | 49.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% | 71.49% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% | 16.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.55% | 45.45% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% | 41.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Score Analysis |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.02%
Shimizu S-Pulse 17.44%
Draw 22.52%
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.04% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.86% 1-2 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.81% Total : 17.44% |


