J1 League | Gameweek 33
Nov 21, 2020 at 6am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
1 - 2
Sagan Tosu

Olunga (87')
Otani (45+1'), Richardson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hayashi (53'), Honda (66')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSagan Tosu
49.59%24.41%26%
Both teams to score 54.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56%47.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34%69.66%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83%19.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16%50.84%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61%32.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1%68.9%
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 49.59%
    Sagan Tosu 26%
    Draw 24.41%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 5.26%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26%

rhs 2.0


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