J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 9, 2020 at 11am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Reysol
3 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Olunga (2'), Esaka (40', 62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fujiharu (42')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawGamba Osaka
43.52%24.62%31.86%
Both teams to score 57.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03%44.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68%67.32%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61%53.39%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06%26.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 43.52%
    Gamba Osaka 31.86%
    Draw 24.62%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawGamba Osaka
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.52%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.86%