Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 50.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.