Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 35.26%. A win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 1-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Apollon Smyrni win was 1-0 (13.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that OFI Crete would win this match.