Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Apollon Smyrni and Asteras Tripolis.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 35.4%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Apollon Smyrni | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 35.4% | 31.49% | 33.11% |
| Both teams to score 38.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.49% | 69.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.08% | 86.92% |
| Apollon Smyrni Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% | 37.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% | 74.03% |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.11% | 38.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.38% | 75.62% |
| Score Analysis |
Apollon Smyrni 35.39%
Asteras Tripolis 33.11%
Draw 31.49%
| Apollon Smyrni | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% 2-0 @ 7.06% 2-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.8% Total : 35.39% | 0-0 @ 14.48% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.49% | 0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.55% Total : 33.11% |


