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Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Dinamo Minsk

Moller (46')
Antzoulas (62'), Moller (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alfred (25'), Polyakov (40'), Kalinin (90+10')
Melnichenka (82')
Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between HJK Helsinki and Dinamo Minsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, October 19 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Dinamo Minsk

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Slavia Mozyr
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawDinamo Minsk
47.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25%27.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.77% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.27%
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)67.98% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 47.13%
    Dinamo Minsk 27.86%
    Draw 25%
HJK HelsinkiDrawDinamo Minsk
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.86%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Dinamo Minsk

HJK Helsinki
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Dinamo Minsk
30.0%
20