UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadion Tusko Polje

Decic
2 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Puleio (26'), Masovic (90+4')
Milic (40'), Sekulovic (54'), Chagas (81'), Camaj (88'), Masovic (90+6'), Stijepovic (115')

FT
(aet)

Plange (43')
Lingman (90+2'), Lyons-Foster (105'), Erwin (113'), Meriluoto (120')

HJK Helsinki win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Decic and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Decic

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Decic
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Decic
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Decic had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Decic win it was 1-0 (7.95%).

Result
Decic	Draw	HJK Helsinki
24.5% ( 0.04)	25.68% ( -0.02)	49.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

0.1)

53.77% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.75% (

0.08)

75.25% (

-0.08)

Decic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.91% (

0.09)

37.09% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12% (

0.09)

73.88% (

-0.08)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39% (

0.03)

21.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.28% (

0.05)

54.72% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Decic 24.5%

HJK Helsinki 49.81%

Draw 25.67%

Decic	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.5%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.81%