Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 64.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Decic had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Decic win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.